Closing the Book on 2025

Closing the Book on 2025

This week, investors and capital markets received a dose of holiday cheer as major U.S. stock indices recorded back-to-back highs in the two days before Christmas market closures.  Stronger-than-expected economic growth during the summer helped drive the momentum, offsetting fresh evidence that consumers are growing more uncertain about their economic futures.

Fringe Finance: Stablecoins

Fringe Finance: Stablecoins

At Ferguson Wellman, the alternative assets desk (my primary role) tends to be where the uncommon client questions land. Alternative assets, in our world, are basically anything that is not a publicly traded stock or bond, and our clients come to us with terrific questions that often sit in this "other" bucket.

Changing Tax Domicile: Tips and Pitfalls

Changing Tax Domicile: Tips and Pitfalls

Every year, we get questions about how to reduce taxes by moving out of state. Taxes in Oregon have been some of the highest in the country for many years, and Washington is quickly following suit.

‘Tis the Season for Holiday Spending

‘Tis the Season for Holiday Spending

The holiday season is in full swing, and there’s a certain energy in the air that feels unmistakable. Calendars fill with gatherings, homes glow a little brighter and routines soften as people pause to reflect on the year behind them. The gift lists and travel plans often involve higher spending and reveal deeper feelings among consumers.

What the Fed Controls—and What the Market Decides

What the Fed Controls—and What the Market Decides

As we look ahead to the Federal Reserve’s December 10 policy meeting, markets are pricing in a greater than 90% chance of a .25% cut in the Fed Funds rate. As my colleague Blaine Dickason wrote last week, the Fed is laser-focused on the jobs market. While this week’s labor market data points to a cooling trend, it doesn’t suggest a contraction.

The Fed at a Crossroads

The Fed at a Crossroads

Yesterday marked Jerome Powell’s last Thanksgiving as Federal Reserve Chair. While he might have much to be thankful for, this year, as he enters the final months of his chairmanship, a unified Federal Reserve is not one of them. With the next Fed meeting and a possible interest rate cut in less than two weeks, we wanted to highlight the dynamics and implications of several transitions occurring at our country’s central bank.

Reversal

Reversal

Coming into this week, investors were focused on two items: the release of delayed employment data and Nvidia’s earnings announcement.  

Unfolding Medicare’s Income-Related Adjustment Amount (IRMAA) Surcharges

Unfolding Medicare’s Income-Related Adjustment Amount (IRMAA) Surcharges

As the pace of life can slow down in the fall and winter seasons, so can we find ourselves noticing the finer details that surround us. These seasons invite reflection and intentionality, making them an ideal time to turn our attention to year-end financial planning.

Data Drama

Data Drama

I spent much of last Sunday with my father in his garage, servicing my car’s rear brakes. The job was supposed to be quick as we’d done it before without much trouble. Worn-out parts come off, new ones go on.

Navigating in a Data-Blind Economy

Navigating in a Data-Blind Economy

As November begins, markets find themselves navigating unprecedented territory. The government shutdown has now stretched to 38 days, the longest in U.S. history. While Washington remains gridlocked over healthcare subsidies and spending priorities, the Federal Reserve is operating in the dark at a moment when clarity is paramount.

Cash Incinerators vs. Cloud Comebacks

Cash Incinerators vs. Cloud Comebacks

This past week offered a trifecta of market-moving headlines: the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates, the latest chapter in the U.S. - China trade saga and a flurry of earnings reports from the leaders in tech and AI.  

Disrupt or Be Disrupted

Disrupt or Be Disrupted

The idea of an AI bubble has been the topic du jour among mainstream investment news channel commentators. It’s no surprise: AI has been the primary driver of the stock market’s rise for the third consecutive year.

Wealth Management Insights Video Fourth Quarter 2025

Wealth Management Insights Video Fourth Quarter 2025

In this quarter’s Wealth Management Insights video, "Wrapping Up 2025," Samantha Pahlow, CTFA, AWMA®, discusses strategy and timing for charitable giving and which items to review ahead of year-end.

Brett Norris on KOIN Wallet Wednesday

Brett Norris on KOIN Wallet Wednesday

Brett Norris, CFP®, was on KOIN AM Extra's Wallet Wednesday to talk about estate planning.

Investment Strategy Fourth Quarter 2025

Investment Strategy Fourth Quarter 2025

In this quarter’s investment strategy video, "Stalemate," Peter Jones, CFA, explores how hiring and firing have hit a standstill — but the economy hasn’t. AI investment, fiscal support, and a Fed pivot toward job growth are creating a complex but opportunity-rich environment for investors.

Examining the Risks in Private Credit

Examining the Risks in Private Credit

When a company needs a big loan to buy a competitor or fund a major project, they traditionally go to big banks or sell bonds on the public market. Private credit funds changed this process, allowing for more streamlined borrowing. Private credit funds act as the bank, lending money directly to companies in bespoke deals.

Making the Most of Your Finances Before Year End

Making the Most of Your Finances Before Year End

As the year draws to a close, it's an opportune time to review your financial situation and ensure you meet year-end deadlines to maximize your financial benefits. Completing these year-end financial tasks can help you save on taxes, secure your retirement and prepare you for the year ahead.  

Thresholds

Thresholds

This week, the Congressional Budget Office released its estimate of the federal government’s fiscal year 2025 budget deficit. Nine months ago, there were high expectations that policymakers would move to reduce the deficit spending we’ve seen over the last 25 years.

Shutdowns and Smokescreens

Shutdowns and Smokescreens

On Wednesday, Congress failed to reach an agreement to fund the government, resulting in the first shutdown since 2018. While news headlines are filled with political drama, the financial markets have told a different story.

Outlook and Insights Fourth Quarter 2025

Read Outlook and Insights